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House prices: experts look ahead

May 2021

House prices continued to soar in April, up 1.4% against March, and 8.2% ahead in the year-to-date, according to the latest Halifax index.  This takes the average house price to £258,204, with no sign of the rate of price rises slowing down any time soon.

With that in mind, experts at have offered their expertise answering some of the most important questions:


Why have house prices risen so much?

There are a few reasons that may have triggered the soar in house prices:

  • The stamp duty holiday extension
  • Low-interest rates
  • The desire to move to a new house which has also been fuelled by the pandemic
  • The desire to live out of a city, in a larger home for a similar price
  • In lockdown, a lot of people were able to save money and are now in a position to buy a new home


What impact did the stamp duty have?

After Chancellor Rishi Sunak brought in a temporary holiday to stamp duty fees last summer, to give the housing market a boost, this led to a huge increase in UK house sales and has been a major factor in pushing people to act - even though the £15,000 saving has been more than swallowed up by house price increases since it was introduced.


What has happened to house prices in the past year?

House prices have been steadily rising for the past year, with only a small dip at the start of 2021 when the stamp duty holiday was expected to end.

There are several house price indices produced by different organisations. They use different factors when assessing house prices in the UK and therefore it’s worth looking at all of them to get the full picture on prices.


Will house prices keep rising?

The data from Halifax today predicts that prices will continue to rise for the next few months but at some point this year will begin to slow down, at the point when the government’s furlough scheme comes to an end. However, the pandemic has shown us that nothing is ever set in stone and therefore the outlook remains cautious for the housing market.

“We expect the market to remain strong at least until the end of the year, with prices supported by a severe shortage of homes for sale and people wanting to make a move and get on with their lives as the pandemic finally recedes and life returns to normal," says Mike Scott, chief analyst at Yopa.

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Image credit: Puttachat Kumkrong/Shutterstock


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